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Treatment-Related Toxicities Add Substantially To Cost Burden Of Treating Cancer Patients

STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN – Costs of cancer treatments will come under increasing scrutiny, and some hard decisions will have to be made to contain costs. In addition to outlays for drugs and hospitalization, treatment-induced complications have the potential to double the monthly tab, according to a study presented at the 2011 European Multidisciplinary Cancer Congress (ESMO/ECCO/ESTRO).

Treating metastatic breast cancer can run from $3000 to $8000 per month for each patient, and the additional cost of treatment-related toxicities with commonly used chemotherapy can add another $3000 to $4000 to that total, said Melissa Brammer, MD, Medical Director at Genentech, Inc., South San Fransciso, CA. Dr. Brammer and co-authors based these costs on claims from a U.S. database.

The study was based on 1551 patients with metastatic breast cancer treated with either chemotherapy and/or anti-HER2 therapy from 2004 to 2009. Patients were entered in the PharMetrics Integrated Database. There were 3157 episodes of treatment for treatment-related complications, each lasting an average of 131 days; 37% (1157) of episodes were HER2-based. At baseline, many of the patients had multiple comorbidities, including diabetes, arthritis, and hypertension.

Costs of drug treatment were calculated for the most commonly used agents: trastuzumab and lapatinib for HER2-positive breast cancer and docetaxel, paclitaxel, gemcitabine, vinorelbine, and doxorubicin.

The most common chemotherapy-induced complications were anemia (51% of episodes), bilirubin elevations (26% of episodes), and infection (19% of episodes). A similar pattern was found for anti-HER2 therapies: anemia, 51%; bilirubin elevation, 29%, and infections, 19%. Gemcitabine was associated with the highest rate of anemia, and capecitabine with the lowest rate, she said.

Anemia, dehydration, dyspnea, and neutropenia were the most expensive chemotherapy-related complications. The monthly costs of treatment for chemotherapy-related complications were: anemia, $3200; dehydration $3830; dyspnea, $4217; and neutropenia, $3453. Similar costs were observed with these complications in patients treated with anti-HER2 therapies.

Drug expenses were the driver for expenses associated with anemia and neutropenia, while the costs of treating dyspnea and dehydration were driven primarily by hospitalization expenses..

“The treatment-related costs presented here do not capture out-of-claims costs, such as alopecia and fatigue.  Incremental costs of treating adverse events should be considered in evaluating new therapies. There is a need for treatments that are effective, but do not incur significant toxicities,” Dr. Brammer stated.

by Phoebe Starr

Ten Trends Transforming The Business of Oncology

To gain insight into the commercial changes occurring in the oncology industry, Campbell Alliance initiated the Oncology National Commercial (ONC) study where 75 key industry experts, physicians, payers, and opinion leaders were surveyed. The study revealed an alarming pattern that told us that the oncology space is transforming in such a way that never-before-seen competition is now built into the “DNA” of the business of oncology, and few companies are prepared to operate in the face of this intense competition.

Below are trends and analysis found in the ONC survey:

Trend 1: Large pharma has dramatically expanded its oncology pipeline.

Large pharma has developed and bought its way into oncology to the point where two and a half times as many compounds were in clinical trials in 2010 as were in the large pharma pipeline of 2000.

Bottom-line effect: Competition is sharply greater, based on gross numbers.

Trend 2: The oncology pipeline has become increasingly targeted.

Oncology pipelines are shift-ing away from therapeutics such as cytotoxic agents and broad cell-cycle inhibitors that treat cancer with little specificity. The agents filling the 2010 pipeline are much more targeted than the agents filling the 2000 pipeline.

Bottom-line effect: There is now great overlap in mechanisms of action and molecular targets among the large-pharma oncology pipeline.

Trend 3: Multiple oncology therapies target the same molecular pathways.

In 2010, large pharma oncology pipelines were driven by new understanding of molecular pathways. Agents became increasingly engineered to their targets. If we focus on the top 10 targets, outside of the top 5, all of the other targets had only one or two agents targeted to them in the pipeline in 2000 (see Figure 2 below).

Bottom-line effect: The same scientific transparency has led to intense competition.

Trend 4: Multiple agents are now tested against even rare tumors.

In 2000, 63% of new compounds in late stage clinical trials were tested on one or more of the “big five” solid tumors (breast, colorectal, gastric, lung, and prostate). By 2010, this share had dropped below 50%. The story is one of market competition and a scattering to supposed safe havens of ever smaller patient populations.

Bottom-line effect: The pipeline for niche indications has become increasingly crowded and may represent even more competition per patient than seen in tumors that affect larger patient populations.

Trend 5: Biomarkers are fragmenting the oncology market.

Biomarkers, on one hand, allow for increased efficacy and smaller clinical trials. On the other hand, biomarkers necessarily narrow the market and funnel compounds with similar mechanisms of action to the same biomarker-defined patients.

Bottom-line effect: By defining even smaller patient populations, biomarkers may limit payoffs.

Trend 6: Oncology has become a blockbuster machine.

Entering 2010, oncology blockbust-ers had become much more valuable than they were in 2000. In 2000, only two oncology drugs had more than $1 billion in revenue. In 2010, all of the top 10 oncology drugs exceeded $1 billion in sales. This revenue growth has come in the face of decreasing incidence for most cancers in the US. Instead, the revenue growth has come largely through the increasing price of new oncology drugs.

Bottom-line effect: There is good news in that an oncology blockbuster is now a blockbuster.

Trend 7: Oncology is saturated with sales representatives.

In the past decade, the growth in oncology sales representatives was 6.9% annually, far outstripping the 3.3% growth in oncologists. This growth has outpaced the growth of oncologists in the US to the point where there are three reps for every 10 oncologists. This increase in sales reps per oncologist limits access by competition. In addition, the survey respondents confirmed that access is increasingly limited, such that about half the time, sales reps are unable to see the oncologist. This limited access suggests that the industry may be over-invested in sales representatives targeting high prescribing oncologists.

Bottom-line effect: Industry leaders expect that oncology sales forces will net increase, and this may imply that access will become even more competitive.

Trend 8: Oncologists are no longer the sole decision makers.

Oncologists began the decade making essentially all the decisions in oncology patient care. Now a host of stakeholders influence oncology therapy choice. The federal government has already begun exerting its new influence over oncology treatments. State governments are increasingly exerting access influence by mandating coverage and mandating IV/oral cost equivalence. Payers are also shifting costs to patients, who are increasingly exposed to high co-pays or coinsurance.

Bottom-line effect: As non-oncologists exert ever-greater influence over oncology therapy choice, success-ful oncology companies will redeploy customer-facing resources to address the needs of these newly important customers.

Trend 9: Payers are beginning to man-age oncology.

In 2000, oncology remained an area with few price controls. The typical flow of injectable oncology drugs was via buy-and-bill, where oncologists purchased oncology products from wholesalers and received payment (including substantial mark-ups) from health plans and Medicare Administrative Carriers. By the mid-2000s, oncology practices were able to increase margins by using group purchasing organizations (GPOs) to negotiate more favorable discounts and rebates from manufacturers. By 2010, both Medicare and many traditional healthcare plans had responded by changing the reimbursement methodology to average selling price (ASP), which is net of all rebates and discounts. ASP has removed much of the profit potential from buy-and-bill.

Payers are also controlling access to oncology therapeutics explicitly. Typically, payers seek to control costs by requiring an FDA indication, prior therapy failure, appropriate dosage, appropriate therapy intervals, or compendia listing. Prior authorizations are required for up to 65% of covered lives for the most expensive oncology monoclonal antibodies.

Bottom-line effect: The downstream effects of lower oncologist profitability are just beginning to be felt. Oncologists are shifting unprofitable patients to hospitals. Oncologists themselves are migrating from independent practices to large institutions with financial incentives less aligned with high prescribing. Eroding profit margins are leading to a decreasing direct financial interest of oncologists in therapy choice. Therapy choice may be driven more by “reimbursement confidence” than by access, and decreasing financial incentives may lead to lower prescription rates for expensive therapies.

Trend 10: The combination of commercial and clinical factors may lead to a bursting oncology asset bubble.

Oncology had been a hot area for licensing through the 2000 to 2009 period. In-licensed compounds were evaluated and purchased based on historic trends. Unfortunately for those valuing oncology assets, historic trends have not continued. Many of the key inputs to valuation models appear to be eroding sharply.

Bottom-line effect: When a supply glut is combined with eroding valuation fundamentals, a price collapse may be in the works.

There is more to this story. Please go to the September issue of OBR green to view more analysis and figures that accompany the copy in this blog. The full length article and blog were written by Jeff Stewart and Nader Naeymi-Rad of Campbell Alliance.

Three Approvals in 2 Weeks, But…

2011 is shaping up as a great year for medical oncology, and August was especially symbolic of a thriving industry. When was the last time we saw three oncology products get approved in one month, let alone a 2 week span? The staffers at the FDA must have breathed a collective sigh of relief (and pride) as they wrapped up the third oncology product approval at the end of August. It was a historic month because these three products are all novel products pointing to the promise of the future, and because all three of the approvals were issued prior to their PDUFA date. I interpret this as a signal from the FDA that the agency will act quickly when there is scientific conviction, and a signal to drug developers that a personalized oncology agent, and companion biomarker, with strong clinical evidence will gain the fastest approval timeline available.

It is remarkable that for all the talk about personalized cancer therapeutics being the Holy Grail, patients can now access two of the leading personalized therapeutics making headlines for the last year. Here’s a quick look at the headline-generating approvals so far in 2011 (numbers are approximates and taken from media articles):

Generic/Brand Name Indication Benefit Cost of Therapy
Yervoy (ipilimumab; BMS) Melanoma 3.6 months $120K
Zytiga (abiraterone; J&J) Prostate 4 months $20K
Zelboraf (vemurafenib; Roche/Genentech/Daiichi) Melanoma 6 months PFS $56K
Adcetris (brentuximab vedotin; Seattle Genetics) HL; ALCL HL – 73% RR

ALCL – 86% RR

$110K
Xalkori (crizotinib; Pfizer) NSCLC 50% RR; 48 weeks duration $115K

Does anybody else notice something in that column on the right? To me, Zytiga stands out immediately, and shows that price (or cost of therapy) is at least somewhat correlated to class, not benefit. But what about vemurafenib? A targeted therapy at half the price of Yervoy? Did Roche/Genentech leave money on the table? I’ve always strongly believed that benchmarking is the biggest factor in pricing, meaning that subsequent therapies approved in a similar indication are always more expensive than the previous benchmark. Vemurafenib throws that theory out and perhaps tells us that historic norms don’t apply to pricing in personalized oncology. The last time I saw a product come out less expensive than the market leader was when Vectibix came out less expensive than Erbitux, something that Amgen never got much credit for because of the clinical setbacks with Vectibix.

The class of 2011 is demonstrating that novel agents are making it to market, and there is reason for optimism and celebration. But in today’s environment we have to discuss cost of therapy along with the indication and benefit. When Dendreon/Provenge crashed last month due to less than expected uptake it demonstrated that there is elasticity in today’s oncology markets, and from the table above it appears that Zytiga and Zelboraf will not suffer from this elasticity. While analysts don’t see a similar problem for Yervoy, the bold pricing strategy and evidence of elasticity makes me think that demand may come up shorter than expected in the coming months. BMS isn’t a single drug company so if they miss their forecast it won’t drop the stock by >50%.

An article from the Campbell Alliance in the September issue of OBR green points out that in 2000 there were only 2 oncology products in the top 10 whose sales were >$1 billion, whereas in 2010 all of the top 10 oncology products are  > $1 billion. Analysts are also projecting that the new niche personalized products like crizotinib are likely to eventually achieve >$1 billion in sales. Is this a sustainable trend in the days of economic contraction? I think not, even in the era of personalized oncology. So while on the one hand this industry is thriving, the existing pricing models continue to ring the alarm bells. One oncologist once said to me that “pharma is going to price themselves right into regulation.”

by Don Sharpe

Please Explain: What is the Difference Between OBR daily and OBR intel?

What do I get with a subscription to OBR intel that I don’t already get with OBR daily?

OBR intel includes 7 main resources not available with the free OBR daily subscription service:

1. OBR Finance – our listing of oncology focused companies including streaming stock quotes and corporate profiles of the companies. Also included in OBR finance are financial indicators such as the OBR index, Cancer Patient Volume and Cancer Drug Dollar Volume (indicators brought to us by our partner IntrinsiQ), Top 5 Winners/Losers, and OBR Bulls and Bears.

2. Pipeline Online – this database of experimental oncology pipeline products is updated regularly, but the real value in Pipeline Online is that it is user friendly, meaning that you can search by tumor type, class, company, or product.

3. OBR Radar – this is our database of upcoming pivotal events in the oncology industry. In OBR Radar we include things like PDUFA dates, ODAC dates, expected Phase III clinical trial results, and anticipated approval dates. OBR Radar allows you to look forward at the events changing clinical practice and thus impacting on market dynamics.

4. Editorial Board Commentary – We have created an editorial board of world-renown oncologists that read OBR daily every day and provide their valuable insights as to how they interpret the news seen in OBR daily. You can view our current editorial board members here: http://www.oncbiz.com/editorialboard/. We call it virtual access – being able to view the insights/analysis of our editorial board on the daily oncology news you see in OBR daily.

5. Pub Scan – We monitor 7 peer-reviewed oncology journals and provide you with excerpts and urls – according to your preferences – so you are up to date on the latest publications in your area of interest.

6. Access to the OBR intel dashboard where you can set your preferences, access our databases, and research historical news and publications in your specialty.

7. Plus you get to customize your daily news

But I love OBR daily and don’t want to lose it…

As a subscriber to OBR intel you still get a daily email from us. You don’t lose anything with OBR intel, in fact you get the same great content plus much more as described above.

So my daily email from OBR intel looks just like my current OBR daily?

Yes, except we’ve added:

1) a section so you get your customized news first and
2) a pub-scan section reviewing recent publications in peer-reviewed journals

Comparatively, it looks like this:

And how do I access these other resources?

Right there in OBR intel. The right hand column has links to all the OBR resources, including as much of the physician comments we could fit.

That is our push, but you can also access all the information in your OBR intel dashboard. This is where you set your preferences and access your widgets. Resources in the OBR dashboard include:

• Current and archived publications by interest area
• Current and archived news articles by interest area
• OBR Finance, OBR Radar, and Pipeline Online widgets
• OBR green
• Current and archived physician commentary

Quick, tell me why I need these other resources listed above?

Maybe you do, maybe you don’t. Depends on your role. But we call it OBR intel because there are most likely times when you want understand more about the drivers in this dynamic industry. Financial indicators tell of the health of the oncology industry, the pipeline is always interesting to review, OBR Radar is fun to review to see what’s coming, and our editorial board commentary offers unparalleled perspective.

OK, you convinced me. How does your price for a subscription compare to others?

As you know if you work in oncology, pricing is about value. We feel that given all the resources you’re gaining from a subscription to OBR intel, the value is there. We are charging $930 for an annual subscription, but we can also discuss bulk subscriptions for your company too.

How do I get started?

You can start two ways:

1) Go here to begin a 30 day trial
2) Get started right away with a subscription here

by Don Sharpe

PI3K Inhibitors: A Promising New Class of Cancer Therapeutics?

By Tatiana Spicakova, PhD – Associate Consultant, CancerMPact®, Head of Emerging Technologies, Kantar Health

Targeted therapy has revolutionized the way cancer is treated and manufacturers continue to invest substantial resources in the development of new technologies, of which phosphoinositide-3 kinase (PI3Ks) inhibitors, either alone or in combination with MEK inhibitors, appear as the most promising next wave of targeted therapeutics.

Aberrant PI3K signaling has a known role in carcinogenesis, caused by several mechanisms such as activation of the upstream receptor tyrosine kinase, overexpression or mutational activation of PI3K, or mutational inactivation or loss of phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN, a negative regulator of PI3K). Given the importance of activated PI3K signaling in cancer, Class I PI3Ks are currently one of the hottest drug targets in oncology, with several small molecules in early stages of clinical development.

Given the number of PI3K inhibitors entering the clinic, selecting the right therapeutic area will be key for companies to ensure successful market entry. Preclinical data provide some guidance as to which tumor types might be sensitive to PI3K inhibition. For example, preclinical models suggest that breast tumors harboring HER2 amplifications require PI3K signaling after acquiring resistance to anti-HER2 therapies. Hence, a combination of PI3K inhibitors with Herceptin® (trastuzumab, Roche) may result in an effective therapy in this patient population. Recognizing the opportunity for PI3K inhibitors in breast cancer, several companies have initiated clinical trials in this tumor type: XL147 (Exelixis/sanofi-aventis) is in a Phase I/II trial in combination with Herceptin or Herceptin plus paclitaxel; GDC-0941 (Genentech/Roche) is in Phase I trial in combination with trastuzumab-DM1 (an antibody-drug conjugate) and in combination with paclitaxel and Avastin® (bevacizumab, Genentech/Roche); and BKM120 (Novartis) is in Phase I/II trial in combination with Herceptin and a Phase I trial combined with BEZ235 (Novartis) and paclitaxel with or without Herceptin.

Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) is also likely to emerge as a therapeutic area of interest for PI3K inhibitors. It was previously shown that NSCLC tumors can become resistant to EGFR-targeted inhibitors via activation of or maintaining downstream PI3K signaling. Hence, these tumors represent an attractive opportunity for PI3K inhibitors either following progression on EGFR-targeted agents or in combination with EGFR-targeted agents in earlier settings. Not wasting any time, Genentech/Roche initiated a Phase I trial to evaluate GDC0941 in combination with Tarceva® (erlotinib, OSI/Astellas/Genentech/Roche) in NSCLC patients previously treated with chemotherapy, and Exelixis initiated Phase I trials to evaluate XL147 or XL765 in combination with Tarceva in NSCLC patients previously treated with Tarceva or Iressa® (gefitinib, AstraZeneca). Determined to lead the race, Novartis plans to open a Phase II trial to evaluate BKM120 in metastatic NSCLC with activated PI3K pathway. Unlike XL147, the drug will not be used in combination with Tarceva; instead, patients with squamous histology will either receive BKM120 or docetaxel, and patients with non-squamous histology will receive either BKM120 or docetaxel or Alimta® (pemetrexed, Eli Lilly).

Selection of other tumor types will likely depend on whether the tumors are known to harbor PI3K mutations/amplifications or PTEN mutations/deletions such as endometrial or brain tumors. Comprehensive mutational analysis of tumors from patients enrolled in PI3K inhibitor clinical trials and stratification by mutation status will be key in teasing out which genetic abnormalities are most likely to result in meaningful clinical outcomes.

Although the majority of PI3K inhibitors are under development in solid tumors, hematological malignancies also represent a therapeutic area of interest, especially for isoform-specific PI3K inhibitors. For example, constitutive activation of PI3K signaling pathway is commonly found in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), with the p110d isoform always expressed. In acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL), both p110d and p110b isoforms are expressed. Interestingly, activating mutations in the p110a catalytic subunit – that are commonly present in solid tumors – have not yet been identified in AML. Given the importance of p110d and p110b isoforms in hematological malignancies, p110d isoform specific inhibitors such as AMG319 (Amgen) and CAL101 (renamed as GS1101 following acquisition of Calistoga Pharmaceuticals by Gilead Sciences) could potentially have efficacy and safety advantages over pan-PI3K inhibitors. Acting on the evidence for the role of PI3K in hematological malignancies, Amgen plans to evaluate AMG319 in a Phase I trial in relapsed/refractory lymphoid malignancies, with the expansion cohort enrolling patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL).

Calistoga Pharmaceuticals, acquired by Gilead Sciences earlier this year, is so far leading the race of isoform-specific PI3K development with several clinical trials ongoing in hematological malignancies. Calistoga initiated the clinical development of CAL-101 in relapsed/refractory hematological malignancies, and currently offers patients who are deriving benefit with CAL-101 the opportunity to continue treatment. Following Calistoga’s acquisition, Gilead appears to fully support the development of CAL-101 in hematological malignancies. A Phase I trial is evaluating the compound in combination with chemotherapy and CD20-targeted antibody in relapsed/refractory indolent B-cell non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL) or CLL; a different Phase I trial is evaluating CAL-101 monotherapy in previously untreated low-grade lymphoma; a Phase II trial is evaluating CAL-101 in combination with Rituxan® (MabThera® in Western Europe, rituximab, Biogen Idec/Genentech/Roche) in elderly patients with previously untreated CLL or small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), and a Phase II trial is evaluating CAL-101 in indolent B-cell NHL. Calistoga was also developing CAL-120, a dual inhibitor of p110d and p110b, which was expected to enter Phase I development in solid tumors based on the emerging role of p110b isoform in PTEN null tumors, but following the acquisition, it has not been disclosed whether Gilead still plans on taking CAL-120 into clinical development.

The excitement surrounding PI3K inhibitors was certainly evident at this year’s ASCO where data from early clinical development were presented for all 3 categories of PI3K inhibitors: (1) pan-PI3K inhibitors that target all p110 isoforms; (2) isoform-specific PI3K inhibitors that target a specific p110 isoform; and (3) PI3K/mTOR dual inhibitors that inhibit all p110 isoforms as well as mTOR.

To learn more about the presented safety and preliminary efficacy data, please refer to the full article in the July issue of OBR green.

NSCLC Market Feedback

By now you’ve seen post-ASCO QuickPolls in melanoma and GU cancers, and in between we ran a blog on some recent compelling clinical news in NSCLC. Following up on the NSCLC news, we think it is a good time to present QuickPoll outcomes in NSCLC. QuickPolls are a first glimpse into physicians’ reactions to new data presented at ASCO ’11. OBR and MDoutlook are pleased to share results from MDoutlook’s 4th annual post-ASCO survey fielded among its global network of 52,000 cancer physicians.

Introduction:

Quick Poll Methodology and Respondents’ Geographic Distribution

  • 2011 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting was held in Chicago, IL. June 3-7, 2011
  • NSCLC Quick Poll was launched by email in the afternoon of Wednesday, June 8, 2011
  • This is part of series of 4 ASCO Quick Polls: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), GU (prostate and renal) cancers, GI cancers, and Melanoma
  • Sent to global distribution of Medical Oncologists and clinicians with a clinical interest in NSCLC
  • Data taken on June 15th with 124 complete responses
  • Over 1/2 of responses from USA
  • Responses received from 20 different countries in total
  • No financial incentives provided for participation

Survey Results:

1) NSCLC Treaters Plan Increased Usage of Erlotinib While Decreasing Usage of Platinum Based Chemotherapy

Conclusions

  • In the next year a majority of patients with metastatic NSCLC who have EGFR mutations will receive erlotinib
    • Usage of erlotinib is higher in the US than Ex-US
  • Usage of platinum based chemotherapy will decrease in the coming year
    • ~30% of patients will receive chemotherapy
  • Mostly similar results across geographic regions

2) Large Proportion of Clinicians Plan to Always Use Crizotinib EML4-ALK+ NSCLC patients

Conclusions

  • Overall, respondents indicate they will often or always use crizotinib for their appropriate NSCLC patients
    • Over 50% of clinicians in the US plan to always use
    • 40% for clinicians in Ex-US countries
  • Very few clinicians plan to rarely or never use crizotinib for their EML4-ALK+ NSCLC patients

3) Anti-c-Met Combination Therapy is Expected to Have a Positive Impact on Treatment of c-Met+ Patients

Conclusions

  • Over 50% of Ex-US clinicians find new data on combination therapy with anti-c-Met to be of high clinical importance
  • Largest proportion of US clinicians find new data to be of medium importance
  • Very few clinicians find new data to be of low or very low importance

4) Screening of NSCLC Patients for c-Met Mutation is Expected to  Increase Dramatically in the Near Future

Conclusions

  • Currently, the vast majority of NSCLC patients are not tested for mutations of c-Met
    • Only about 5% of patients are currently tested
  • In the next 12 months US clinicians plan to test close to 30% of their NSCLC patients; close to 40% for Ex-US clinicians
    • ~500% increase in testing for both US and Ex-US NSCLC patients
  • Testing for Met mutation will be slightly more prevalent outside of the US

Overall Conclusions:

  • Close to half of all respondents attended the 2011 ASCO annual meeting
  • US and Ex-US clinicians had roughly similar levels of attendance
  • News from ASCO impacts the entire oncology community
  • A variety of sources are used by the non-attendees to learn about the important news
  • Usage of erlotinib in metastatic NSCLC with an EGFR mutation will increase in the next year
  • A majority of these patients will receive erlotinib
  • Usage of crizotinib for NSCLC patients with EML4-ALK mutation expected to be the standard of care
  • ~1/2 of US clinicians will always use crizotinib for this patient population
  • Targeting c-Met in patients resistant to anti-EGFR therapy is anticipated to have a large impact in the future treatment of NSCLC patients

Final Thoughts:

Quick polls are a fast way of measuring expected acceptance of clinical data post major medical meetings, and perhaps can be used to make some assumptions about adoption amongst providers.  In today’s information hungry environment, the speed at which these polls can be conducted and analyzed can be advantageous for market planning and “pressure testing” acceptance of data amongst key stakeholders.

Close to half of all respondents attended the 2011 ASCO annual meeting

US and Ex-US clinicians had roughly similar levels of attendance

News from ASCO impacts the entire oncology community

A variety of sources are used by the non-attendees to learn about the important news

Usage of erlotinib in metastatic NSCLC with an EGFR mutation will increase in the next year

A majority of these patients will receive erlotinib

Usage of crizotinib for NSCLC patients with EML4-ALK mutation expected to be the standard of care

~1/2 of US clinicians will always use crizotinib for this patient population

Targeting c-Met in patients resistant to anti-EGFR therapy is anticipated to have a large impact in the future treatment of NSCLC patients

New Studies in Lung Cancer Prevention and Detection Reveal Positive Results

It was a big week in lung cancer with the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) meeting and two new studies on lung cancer prevention and detection that caught the attention of oncologists this week. One study focused on reducing the incidence of the disease in high-risk individuals, while the other study sought to detect tumors at early stages.

Lung Cancer Prevention with Celecoxib in Former Smokers

Celecoxib [Celebrex; Pfizer] continues to show a favorable response in bronchial Ki-67 expression suggesting its efficacy for lung cancer chemoprevention. Results from a study conducted by Jenny T. Mao, MD, of the New Mexico VA Health Care System/University of New Mexico and colleagues are published in this month’s July issue of Cancer Prevention Research.

“Former smokers with high baseline Ki-67 labeling index likely have a stronger driving force of cancerization in their lungs,” said Dr. Mao in an interview. The bronchial Ki-67 labeling index after 6 months of treatment was the primary endpoint as Ki-67 expression is a marker of cellular proliferation.

The cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2)/prostaglandin E2 pathway is known to play a pivotal role in carcinogenesis, thus inhibiting COX-2 may help to prevent lung cancer.

The 137 participants in this phase 2b, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study were former smokers who had smoked at least 30 pack-years; quit and abstained from smoking for at least 1 year; had no evidence of major cardiovascular, renal, or hepatic abnormalities; and successfully completed bronchoscopy without evidence of cancer or other important findings. Participants were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive 6 months of celecoxib (400 mg orally twice each day) or placebo.

Celecoxib decreased the bronchial Ki-67 labeling index by an average of 34% after 6 months of treatment, while placebo increased the Ki-67 labeling index by 3.8%.

Celecoxib was associated with reduced or resolved CT-detected lung nodules. “Oral celecoxib is biologically active in both the central and peripheral respiratory epithelium. This is the first time the improvement of a central bronchial biomarker in response to a lung cancer chemopreventive agent has been linked to the favorable modulation of potential precursor lesions in the lungs,” said Dr. Mao.

Responders to celecoxib could be predicted by their baseline COX-2/15-PGDH ratio, which was 2.9-fold higher than the ratio in nonresponders. Dr. Mao stated, “This is the first study to demonstrate that the expression of key enzymes for a molecular target may help predict an individual’s responsiveness to a lung chemopreventive agent. These findings will help guide the development of a more focused, personalized approach and improve the selection of individuals that will more likely benefit in future lung cancer chemoprevention trials with celecoxib.”

This study was supported by the National Cancer Institute, and Pfizer Inc. supported study drugs and plasma celecoxib measurements.

Low-Dose CT Screening Reduces Lung Cancer Mortality

According to research published June 29 in the New England Journal of Medicine by the National Lung Screening Trial Research Team, mortality from lung cancer showed a 20% relative reduction when screening with low-dose helical computed tomography was compared with screening by chest radiography.

The 53,454 study participants were between the ages of 55 and 74 years old, had a cigarette smoking history of at least 30 pack-years, and, if they had quit smoking, they had done so within the last 15 years. Participants were randomized to be screened by low-dose CT or by single-view posteroanterior chest radiography, and then were screened 3 times at 1-year follow-up intervals.

Mortality rates in the low-dose CT group due to lung cancer showed 247 deaths per 100,000 participants compared with 309 deaths per 100,000 in the radiography group.

“The findings show that CT screening reduces lung cancer mortality by 20 percent when compared with chest x-ray, giving physicians and patients better information than before on which to base their conversations about lung cancer screening. This study was very well designed in order to eliminate many of the weaknesses that affected other such studies,” explained Albert Rizzo, MD, American Lung Association Board Chair-Elect and a pulmonary and critical care physician.

The rate of positive tests in all 3 rounds of screening was higher in the low-dose CT group, with 39% of the low-dose CT group and 16% of the radiography group having at least one positive screening result. The positive results were false positives for 96.4% of those in the low-dose CT group and 94.5% of those in the radiography group.

“Questions remain about the cost effectiveness of screening, the amount of over-diagnosis in the study, whether populations with different risk profiles benefit from screening and how the results will translate to community settings,” said Dr. Rizzo. He stated that more research is needed to see the benefit in the community.

This trial was funded by the National Cancer Institute.

by Kathy Boltz, PhD

Genitourinary Cancer Market Feedback

Last week we published Post-ASCO QuickPoll data in melanoma, and now this week we’ll explore another important tumor type – GU cancers. QuickPolls are a first glimpse into physicians’ reactions to new data presented at ASCO ’11. OBR and MDoutlook are pleased to share results from MDoutlook’s 4th annual post-ASCO survey fielded among its global network of 52,000 cancer physicians.

Introduction:

Quick Poll Methodology and Respondents’ Geographic Distribution

  • 2011 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting was held in Chicago, IL. June 3-7, 2011
  • GU Malignancies Quick Poll was launched by email in the morning of Thursday, June 9, 2011
  • Sent to global distribution of Medical Oncologists and clinicians (including urologists) with a clinical interest in genitourinary malignancies (prostate and/or renal cell)
  • Data taken on June 15th with 102 complete responses
  • ~1/2 of responses from USA
  • Responses received from 22 different countries in total
  • No financial incentives provided for participation

Survey Results:

1) Axitinib is Expected to Have a High Impact on the Clinical Practice for Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

Conclusions

  • Majority of respondents rated Abstract#4503 (Axitinib in mRCC) as having a High or Very High clinical importance
  • Only ~4% of respondents viewed this information as poor
  • Practitioners outside of the US had a slightly more positive outlook of this information

2) Axitinib Will be Widely Used in Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Following Treatment with Sunitinib

Conclusions:

  • Axitinib is expected to become the preferred 2nd line treatment for metastatic RCC (mRCC) following failure/progression on sunitinib
  • mTOR inhibitors are the next most common choice
  • Most clinicians will use a variety of these agents (data not shown)
  • Less than 1/3 will use a single option in the majority of their patients

3) Increasing Usage of Intermittent Androgen Suppression Upon Rising PSA Levels

Conclusions:

  • Currently, slightly more use of continuous androgen suppression upon rising PSA  levels
  • Vast majority of clinicians are using both approaches in their practice (data not shown)
  • Clinicians expect to increase their usage of intermittent androgen suppression for these patients
  • Decision of intermittent vs. continuous suppression is made on an individual patient basis (i.e. most will still use both approaches in their practices)
  • Mostly similar results across geographic regions; Slightly higher adoption of intermittent approach in the US

4) Abiraterone and Cabazitaxel are Seen as the Most Valuable New Therapeutics for Prostate Cancer

Conclusions:

  • Abiraterone acetate is the highest rated new therapeutic for prostate cancer
  • Below average value in prostate cancer is seen for only sunitinib
  • Overall, the US respondents are more enthusiastic about these agents than those outside of the US

Overall Conclusions:

  • The new TKI inhibitor axitinib is likely to make a positive impact on the treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma –Expected to be the most common 2nd line therapy following sunitinib
  • Clinicians use a wide variety of agents for the post-sunitinib treatment of mRCC
  • While most have their own clear favorite approach, almost all use a variety of agents
  • For patients with prostate cancer, the use of intermittent androgen suppression will increase at the expense of continuous suppression
  • Abiraterone and cabazitaxel are seen as the best new therapeutics for prostate cancer Includes those recently approved and under clinical development

Final Thoughts:

Quick polls are a fast way of measuring expected acceptance of clinical data post major medical meetings, and perhaps can be used to make some assumptions about adoption amongst providers.  In today’s information hungry environment, the speed at which these polls can be conducted and analyzed can be advantageous for market planning and “pressure testing” acceptance of data amongst key stakeholders.

Melanoma Market Feedback: Post-ASCO 2011

Continuing the tradition of providing you with timely market feedback from ASCO 2011, OBR and MDoutlook are pleased to share results from MDoutlook’s 4th Annual post-ASCO survey fielded among its global network of 52,000 cancer physicians.

The first Quick-Poll published in the OBR blog will cover one of the hottest topics at ASCO – melanoma. Following these results and analysis we’ll publish on the other tumor types listed below.

Introduction:

Quick Poll Methodology and Respondents’ Geographic Distribution

  • 2011 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting was held in Chicago, IL. June 3-7, 2011
  • Melanoma Quick Poll was launched by email on the morning of Friday, June 10, 2011
  • 4th in a series of 4 ASCO Quick Polls: Other Quick-Polls include Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), GU (prostate and renal) cancers, GI cancers, and Melanoma
  • Sent to global distribution of Medical Oncologists and clinicians with a clinical interest in Melanoma
  • Data taken on June 15th with 201 complete responses
  • ~1/2 of responses from USA
  • Responses received from 23 different countries in total
  • No financial incentives provided for participation

Survey Results:

1) Melanoma Treaters Plan to Treat a Majority of Their  V600E BRAF+ Melanoma Patients with Vemurafenib


Conclusions

  • US melanoma treaters have slightly higher anticipated usage of vemurafenib
  • A majority will place 81-100% of their stage III and stage IV melanoma patients on vemurafenib
  • Ex-US melanoma treaters more likely to place stage IV melanoma patients on vemurafenib than stage III unresectable melanoma patients
  • ~50% will place 81-100% of their stage IV melanoma patients as opposed to 33% for their stage III patients

2) Physicians Plan Selective Usage of Ipilimumab in Their Advanced and Metastatic Melanoma Patients with Ipilimumab

Conclusions

  • Largest proportion of US melanoma treaters will use ipilimumab for 41-60% of their unresectable stage III and stage IV melanoma patients
  • Largest proportion of Ex-US melanoma treaters will use ipilimumab for 21-40% of their unresectable stage III and stage IV melanoma patients
  • Less than 5% of Ex-US melanoma treaters will not use ipilimumab vs. ~10% of US melanoma treaters

3) Melanoma Treaters Rate Clinical Importance of Clinical Trial of GSK212 (MEK inhibitor) and GSK436 (BRAF) as Highly Important

Conclusions

  • Overall, melanoma treaters view clinical trial testing GSK212 and GSK436 in combination as very high
  • The majority of clinicians rate the clinical importance as high or very high
    • Less than 5% rated clinical importance as low

4) Majority of Melanoma Patients Will Be Screened for V600E BRAF Mutation in the Next Year

Conclusions

  • The majority of US and Ex-US melanoma patients will be screened for the V600E BRAF mutation in the upcoming year
    • ~80% of US patients and 65% of Ex-US patients
  • Less than 50% of patients were screened in the previous year
  • 98% increase in the US and 120% increase in Ex-US

Overall Conclusions

  • Melanoma treaters plan to use vemurafenib in over 50% of their V600E BRAF+ melanoma patients
  • Clinicians plan to use ipilimumab in ~50% of their advanced and metastatic melanoma patients
  • Very little difference in usage between unresectable stage III and stage IV melanoma patients
  • Respondents view the clinical trial testing GSK212 and GSK436 in combination as having very high in clinical importance
  • Melanoma treaters will double the number of patients screened for V600E BRAF mutation in the next year

Final Thoughts:

Quick polls are a fast way of measuring expected acceptance of clinical data post major medical meetings, and perhaps can be used to make some assumptions about adoption amongst providers.  In today’s information hungry environment, the speed at which these polls can be conducted and analyzed can be advantageous for market planning and “pressure testing” acceptance of data amongst key stakeholders.

Submitted by Stefan Terwindt, EVP, The Arcas Group

Industry Comment: FDA Should Standardize Molecular Diagnostics

More rigor needed in molecular test development and validation

It is clear that molecular diagnostics will play an increasingly important role in the treatment of patients due to the information we are learning from genomic analysis and the continued introduction of targeted therapies. Despite the potential and importance of molecular testing there are risks to the utilization of these tests, especially as the number of tests grows. Critics of the current state of molecular testing describe it as chaotic and there is significant variation in the rigor of development, validation and implementation of tests into laboratories.

Test claims are made and supported in some cases and not supported in other cases. In addition, few controls are in place to monitor and regulate changes in the claims and performance of products once on the market. For example, companies can change test specifications and reporting methods, without providing new validation studies to support those changes.

This lack of consistency and rigor could risk public health. The field needs clearly articulated standards for the demonstration of analytical and clinical validity and clinical utility.

CLIA and CAP primarily focus on evaluation of laboratory procedures

Currently, laboratories in the United States are evaluated and certified under the Clinical Laboratories Improvement Act (CLIA) and the College of American Pathologists (CAP). These organizations are primarily focused on the quality of the laboratory’s procedures, methods, quality control, proficiency and personnel qualifications and training, all of which are essential to demonstrate that a lab can run tests properly and deliver consistent, reliable results.

However, these certification processes are not focused on nor adequately equipped to evaluate the development, validation and performance claims of many newly developed complex molecular diagnostic tests.

FDA is best equipped to standardize and regulate complex molecular diagnostic tests

Currently the Food and Drug Administration has the most expertise for evaluation of the development, validation and associated performance claims of complex diagnostic tests. However, currently, new diagnostic tests can be launched as Laboratory Developed Tests without FDA review and clearance.

Successful completion of the FDA regulatory clearance process is a reliable indication that a test has been developed in a controlled way and is rigorously validated. For these reasons, Pathwork Diagnostics secured FDA clearance for the Pathwork® Tissue of Origin Test — a molecular test that uses a patient tumor’s RNA expression profile to assist in identifying its origin.

Per the FDA’s requirements, Pathwork followed design control procedures for development of the test, including determination of product specifications prior to product development, careful analysis of hazards and how to mitigate them, designated testing stages and confirmation of successful completion at each step of development.

Pathwork believes that the field would benefit from a transition to the requirement that all new molecular tests require FDA clearance before commercial launch. To be implemented, it would require increased FDA resources, clear guidance from the FDA as to standards for clearance and list of tests exempt from clearance due to low complexity, small patient numbers or minimal risk to public health.

More FDA clarity is needed re standards

Unfortunately, the FDA is still vague regarding what validation and performance standards it expects for each new type of molecular test. In 2007, the FDA issued its draft guidelines, “Guidance on In Vitro Diagnostic Multivariate Index Assays (IVDMIAs),” but these have not gone into effect and there continues to be discussion and debate regarding the appropriate standards.

The FDA faces substantial challenges in regulating molecular diagnostics, including the rapid pace of introduction of new technologies, the multiplicity of different applications and the varying level of unmet medical need and public health risk. Some molecular diagnostics have highly complex informatics approaches, involving computer-based algorithms in contrast to reporting of data for single analytes. These issues, plus the FDA’s limited resources, have made it difficult for the agency to create molecular diagnostics standards.

Standards should incorporate clinical utility

Data supporting clinical utility needs to be different from what is needed for drugs, but currently there are no accepted standards for what clinical utility data should be required for a particular molecular diagnostic test or class of tests.

We believe the standard for diagnostics should vary with the intended use of the test. For example, the standard for a test that predicts response to therapy should be different than a test that aids in diagnosis. In the former, response to the drug is a fundamental aspect of the test’s utility. However, for a diagnostic aid, demonstration that the test does in fact aid in diagnosis and results in a change in physician treatment decisions is appropriate evidence for clinical utility.

Pathwork has proactively collected and analyzed clinical utility data regarding the use of the Tissue of Origin Test. For example, a clinical utility study of the Tissue of Origin Test presented at the ASCO 2011 Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium showed that after receiving the test results for patients with difficult-to-diagnose primary cancers, oncologists’ determination of the primary diagnosis was changed in the majority of patients and cancer-specific management changed for two-thirds of the patients.1

Lack of payer standards an obstacle

Payers essentially constitute a second tier of regulation and a barrier to the commercial success of new molecular diagnostics. Unfortunately, each payer individually decides what standards should be applied to diagnostic tests, resulting in significant inefficiency and wildly different standards for analytical and clinical validity, clinical utility and cost effectiveness.

The lack of consistent payer standards creates great uncertainty for any company bringing out a new test. It goes without saying that a rational and uniform set of payer standards would greatly benefit the development and commercialization of diagnostics, but that is unlikely to occur until the regulatory bodies and health insurance industry can join together to better articulate them.

Molecular diagnostics companies can help create standards

While the molecular diagnostics industry waits for the regulators and advisory bodies to catch up, it remains an obligation of each diagnostics company to make sure that any test it introduces is rigorously designed and validated and that these steps are all well-documented. The test should be implemented in a laboratory environment that is fully CLIA- and CAP-compliant.  Very importantly, companies should be transparent about exactly what claims can be made regarding the performance of a new test and provide the data that backs up any claims.

Validation standards should be appropriate to the type of test and should utilize studies that are appropriately powered and have tight confidence intervals. For the Tissue of Origin Test, which covers 15 different tumor tissues representing 58 subtypes, we performed extensive validation, which included the analysis of 25 samples per tissue type, for a total of 462 formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor specimens in our study published in the Journal of Molecular Diagnostics.2

Most of all, we as molecular diagnostics test providers need to be transparent about what they have done and how it has been done it at every step of product design, development, validation, regulatory clearance and commercialization.

References

1Hornberger et al. Effect of a gene expression-based tissue of origin test’s impact on patient management for difficult-to-diagnose primary cancers. ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium; January 22, 2011; San Francisco, CA. Poster presentation.

2Pillai et al. Validation and reproducibility of a microarray-based gene expression test for tumor identification in FFPE specimens. J Mol Diagn. 2011;13:48-56.

By W. David Henner, MD, PhD, Chief Medical Officer, Pathwork Diagnostics, Inc.